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IMF Projects 4.5% Growth for Saudi Economy in 2026

Riyadh, Saudi Arabia – The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised its growth forecast for Saudi Arabia upwards, projecting a robust 4.5% GDP growth rate for 2026. This optimism is underpinned by the Kingdom's successful diversification efforts and a booming non-oil sector.

Non-Oil Sector Driving Force

While oil production stabilizes, the real story is in the non-oil economy, which is expected to grow by over 5% annually. Key drivers cited by the IMF include:

  • Tourism: Expected to surpass 120 million visitors this year.
  • Construction: Giga-projects entering peak execution phases.
  • Digital Economy: Rapid adoption of AI and fintech services.

Fiscal Stability

The report also praised the Kingdom's fiscal management, noting that the 2026 budget projects a 5.1% increase in revenues, reaching SAR 1,147 billion. This financial health allows for continued high levels of capital expenditure on social and infrastructure projects without compromising stability.

Source: International Monetary Fund (IMF) & Ministry of Finance.
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